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INVESTMENT FORUM WITH A PROVEN TRACK RECORD

ECONOMICS/POLITICS/GEOPOLITICS  

INVESTMENT FORUM

WITH A PROVEN TRACK RECORD

ECONOMICS/POLITICS/GEOPOLITICS  

The Real Two Week Deadlines

The Real Two Week Deadlines

Tax and tariffs have real 2 week deadlines. Keep homebuilders for lower rates, but take profit in XLE. Nibble on cybersecurity as Trump urges NATO to spend.

192

0

0

Jun 22, 2025

The Real Two Week Deadlines

The Real Two Week Deadlines

Tax and tariffs have real 2 week deadlines. Keep homebuilders for lower rates, but take profit in XLE. Nibble on cybersecurity as Trump urges NATO to spend.

192

0

0

Jun 22, 2025

The Real Two Week Deadlines

The Real Two Week Deadlines

Tax and tariffs have real 2 week deadlines. Keep homebuilders for lower rates, but take profit in XLE. Nibble on cybersecurity as Trump urges NATO to spend.

192

0

0

Jun 22, 2025

Trump's Moment of Truth

Trump's Moment of Truth

July 9th: TACO trades vs Donald Trump. Wall Street has already placed its bet, but what could go wrong? What is the cheapest hedge against unilateral tariffs?

9

0

0

Jun 27, 2025

Trump's Moment of Truth

Trump's Moment of Truth

July 9th: TACO trades vs Donald Trump. Wall Street has already placed its bet, but what could go wrong? What is the cheapest hedge against unilateral tariffs?

9

0

0

Jun 27, 2025

Trump's Moment of Truth

Trump's Moment of Truth

July 9th: TACO trades vs Donald Trump. Wall Street has already placed its bet, but what could go wrong? What is the cheapest hedge against unilateral tariffs?

9

0

0

Jun 27, 2025

MACRO STOCK SCREEN

A tool to find stocks that should benefit from our macro views (or yours!). Includes a technical signal to screen for interesting trade candidates.

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OUR TRACK RECORD

We trade our macro views transparently and provide daily updates of how we are doing relative to our benchmark of SPY.

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Boxing Day special - 2025 predictions

Boxing Day special - 2025 predictions

Our idea for what the DOGE will do on 1st April, and 20 other predictions for 2025 that you probably won't see elsewhere.

428

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3

Dec 26, 2024

The Real Two Week Deadlines

The Real Two Week Deadlines

Tax and tariffs have real 2 week deadlines. Keep homebuilders for lower rates, but take profit in XLE. Nibble on cybersecurity as Trump urges NATO to spend.

192

0

0

Jun 22, 2025

The Real Two Week Deadlines

The Real Two Week Deadlines

Tax and tariffs have real 2 week deadlines. Keep homebuilders for lower rates, but take profit in XLE. Nibble on cybersecurity as Trump urges NATO to spend.

192

0

0

Jun 22, 2025

Stock Trading Examples

Stock Trading Examples

A review of stock trading with examples. Why stocks are safer than cash in the long run, how to calculate beta, how to size trades, and a bottom up analysis of VZ and AMC.

94

2

1

Jun 11, 2025

Trump's Moment of Truth

Trump's Moment of Truth

July 9th: TACO trades vs Donald Trump. Wall Street has already placed its bet, but what could go wrong? What is the cheapest hedge against unilateral tariffs?

9

0

0

Friday, June 27, 2025

Honest Board

Honest Board

Last updated 2024-01-19. Our portfolio was up 2% compared to just 0.2% for its benchmark.

159

1

0

Jan 12, 2024

Trump's Moment of Truth

Trump's Moment of Truth

July 9th: TACO trades vs Donald Trump. Wall Street has already placed its bet, but what could go wrong? What is the cheapest hedge against unilateral tariffs?

9

0

0

Friday, June 27, 2025

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METHODOLOGY:

1: Excess returns are calculated daily using US closing prices. 

2. Portfolios are rebalanced on Mondays at New York open, based on allocation strategies discussed in our Beat the Market video on Sunday.  

3: The calibration of our risk exposure is based on our target of annual excess return of 250 basis points and information ratio of 2. 

< 10 mins
Trump's Moment of Truth
Trump's Moment of Truth

July 9th: TACO trades vs Donald Trump. Wall Street has already placed its bet, but what could go wrong? What is the cheapest hedge against unilateral tariffs?

9

0

0

Friday, June 27, 2025

Trump's Moment of Truth
Trump's Moment of Truth

July 9th: TACO trades vs Donald Trump. Wall Street has already placed its bet, but what could go wrong? What is the cheapest hedge against unilateral tariffs?

9

0

0

Friday, June 27, 2025

The Real Two Week Deadlines
Sunday strategy video
30 mins
The Real Two Week Deadlines

Tax and tariffs have real 2 week deadlines. Keep homebuilders for lower rates, but take profit in XLE. Nibble on cybersecurity as Trump urges NATO to spend.

The Real Two Week Deadlines
The Real Two Week Deadlines

Tax and tariffs have real 2 week deadlines. Keep homebuilders for lower rates, but take profit in XLE. Nibble on cybersecurity as Trump urges NATO to spend.

The Real Two Week Deadlines
The Real Two Week Deadlines

Tax and tariffs have real 2 week deadlines. Keep homebuilders for lower rates, but take profit in XLE. Nibble on cybersecurity as Trump urges NATO to spend.

192

0

0

Sunday, June 22, 2025

Leverage without leverage

Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch tell us that diversification is bad. We explain what really happens when you diversify, and how we use it.

0
3

Jan 15, 2024

685

MORE BUYERS OR SELLERS?
 Monday fast money

Chinese data suggests Covid testing is being reduced

Asymptomatic cases in China have begun to diverge from symptomatic cases.

206

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4

Dec 6, 2022

ON THE RADAR
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