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INVESTMENT FORUM WITH A PROVEN TRACK RECORD

ECONOMICS/POLITICS/GEOPOLITICS  

INVESTMENT FORUM

WITH A PROVEN TRACK RECORD

ECONOMICS/POLITICS/GEOPOLITICS  

The Bear Ate Your SMH

The Bear Ate Your SMH

Stocks appeared to ignore Trump's latest trade talk once again on Friday. That's not what actually happened though. More downside for NVDA. Buy a dip in CIBR.

231

0

1

Jun 1, 2025

The Bear Ate Your SMH

The Bear Ate Your SMH

Stocks appeared to ignore Trump's latest trade talk once again on Friday. That's not what actually happened though. More downside for NVDA. Buy a dip in CIBR.

231

0

1

Jun 1, 2025

The Bear Ate Your SMH

The Bear Ate Your SMH

Stocks appeared to ignore Trump's latest trade talk once again on Friday. That's not what actually happened though. More downside for NVDA. Buy a dip in CIBR.

231

0

1

Jun 1, 2025

The Bury-the-TACO Trades

The Bury-the-TACO Trades

Trump’s maximalist approach to negotiation is not working. What will he do to regain his credibility in his many high-stake negotiations? Which threat will he follow through? I discuss market implications

196

0

3

Jun 6, 2025

The Bury-the-TACO Trades

The Bury-the-TACO Trades

Trump’s maximalist approach to negotiation is not working. What will he do to regain his credibility in his many high-stake negotiations? Which threat will he follow through? I discuss market implications

196

0

3

Jun 6, 2025

The Bury-the-TACO Trades

The Bury-the-TACO Trades

Trump’s maximalist approach to negotiation is not working. What will he do to regain his credibility in his many high-stake negotiations? Which threat will he follow through? I discuss market implications

196

0

3

Jun 6, 2025

MACRO STOCK SCREEN

A tool to find stocks that should benefit from our macro views (or yours!). Includes a technical signal to screen for interesting trade candidates.

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OUR TRACK RECORD

We trade our macro views transparently and provide daily updates of how we are doing relative to our benchmark of SPY.

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Boxing Day special - 2025 predictions

Boxing Day special - 2025 predictions

Our idea for what the DOGE will do on 1st April, and 20 other predictions for 2025 that you probably won't see elsewhere.

418

0

3

Dec 26, 2024

The Bear Ate Your SMH

The Bear Ate Your SMH

Stocks appeared to ignore Trump's latest trade talk once again on Friday. That's not what actually happened though. More downside for NVDA. Buy a dip in CIBR.

231

0

1

Jun 1, 2025

The Bear Ate Your SMH

The Bear Ate Your SMH

Stocks appeared to ignore Trump's latest trade talk once again on Friday. That's not what actually happened though. More downside for NVDA. Buy a dip in CIBR.

231

0

1

Jun 1, 2025

A Breakdown Of Stock Sectors

A Breakdown Of Stock Sectors

A detailed look at the industries represented in the S&P. We observe the trends shaping each sector, and which industries give exposure to macro and equity factors.

114

1

1

Jun 4, 2025

The Bury-the-TACO Trades

The Bury-the-TACO Trades

Trump’s maximalist approach to negotiation is not working. What will he do to regain his credibility in his many high-stake negotiations? Which threat will he follow through? I discuss market implications

196

0

3

Friday, June 6, 2025

Honest Board

Honest Board

Last updated 2024-01-19. Our portfolio was up 2% compared to just 0.2% for its benchmark.

159

1

0

Jan 12, 2024

The Bury-the-TACO Trades

The Bury-the-TACO Trades

Trump’s maximalist approach to negotiation is not working. What will he do to regain his credibility in his many high-stake negotiations? Which threat will he follow through? I discuss market implications

196

0

3

Friday, June 6, 2025

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METHODOLOGY:

1: Excess returns are calculated daily using US closing prices. 

2. Portfolios are rebalanced on Mondays at New York open, based on allocation strategies discussed in our Beat the Market video on Sunday.  

3: The calibration of our risk exposure is based on our target of annual excess return of 250 basis points and information ratio of 2. 

< 10 mins
The Bury-the-TACO Trades
The Bury-the-TACO Trades

Trump’s maximalist approach to negotiation is not working. What will he do to regain his credibility in his many high-stake negotiations? Which threat will he follow through? I discuss market implications

196

0

3

Friday, June 6, 2025

The Bury-the-TACO Trades
The Bury-the-TACO Trades

Trump’s maximalist approach to negotiation is not working. What will he do to regain his credibility in his many high-stake negotiations? Which threat will he follow through? I discuss market implications

196

0

3

Friday, June 6, 2025

The Bear Ate Your SMH
Sunday strategy video
30 mins
The Bear Ate Your SMH

Stocks appeared to ignore Trump's latest trade talk once again on Friday. That's not what actually happened though. More downside for NVDA. Buy a dip in CIBR.

The Bear Ate Your SMH
The Bear Ate Your SMH

Stocks appeared to ignore Trump's latest trade talk once again on Friday. That's not what actually happened though. More downside for NVDA. Buy a dip in CIBR.

The Bear Ate Your SMH
The Bear Ate Your SMH

Stocks appeared to ignore Trump's latest trade talk once again on Friday. That's not what actually happened though. More downside for NVDA. Buy a dip in CIBR.

231

0

1

Sunday, June 1, 2025

Leverage without leverage

Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch tell us that diversification is bad. We explain what really happens when you diversify, and how we use it.

0
3

Jan 15, 2024

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MORE BUYERS OR SELLERS?
 Monday fast money

Chinese data suggests Covid testing is being reduced

Asymptomatic cases in China have begun to diverge from symptomatic cases.

206

0
4

Dec 6, 2022

ON THE RADAR
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