The Lion The Bear And The Fox
China is not going to back down from the fight with the US. Trump won't either until equities force him. Others are taking the spoils, while recession odds rise. Exit MSFT for TLT.
317
0
5
Apr 20, 2025
MACRO STOCK SCREEN
A tool to find stocks that should benefit from our macro views (or yours!). Includes a technical signal to screen for interesting trade candidates.
OUR TRACK RECORD
We trade our macro views transparently and provide daily updates of how we are doing relative to our benchmark of SPY.
The Lion The Bear And The Fox
China is not going to back down from the fight with the US. Trump won't either until equities force him. Others are taking the spoils, while recession odds rise. Exit MSFT for TLT.
317
0
5
Apr 20, 2025
Time for Trump to Pivot?
It was a mistake for Trump to focus his first 100 days on ending the Ukraine war instead of dealing with Iran. Will he soon pivot? I still like gold.
375
4
3
Friday, April 18, 2025
METHODOLOGY:
1: Excess returns are calculated daily using US closing prices.
2. Portfolios are rebalanced on Mondays at New York open, based on allocation strategies discussed in our Beat the Market video on Sunday.
3: The calibration of our risk exposure is based on our target of annual excess return of 250 basis points and information ratio of 2.
< 10 mins
Time for Trump to Pivot?
It was a mistake for Trump to focus his first 100 days on ending the Ukraine war instead of dealing with Iran. Will he soon pivot? I still like gold.
375
4
3
Friday, April 18, 2025
Sunday strategy video
30 mins
The Lion The Bear And The Fox
China is not going to back down from the fight with the US. Trump won't either until equities force him. Others are taking the spoils, while recession odds rise. Exit MSFT for TLT.
The Lion The Bear And The Fox
China is not going to back down from the fight with the US. Trump won't either until equities force him. Others are taking the spoils, while recession odds rise. Exit MSFT for TLT.
The Lion The Bear And The Fox
China is not going to back down from the fight with the US. Trump won't either until equities force him. Others are taking the spoils, while recession odds rise. Exit MSFT for TLT.
317
0
5
Sunday, April 20, 2025
Leverage without leverage
Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch tell us that diversification is bad. We explain what really happens when you diversify, and how we use it.
MORE BUYERS OR SELLERS?
Monday fast money
Chinese data suggests Covid testing is being reduced
Asymptomatic cases in China have begun to diverge from symptomatic cases.
