Can A 22 Kill A bull?
A 22k print in payrolls raises the spectre of stagflation. Fighting in DC is also likely to be good for gold and bad for stocks. Time to take profit in stocks with exposure to rates.
244
0
4
Sep 7, 2025
MACRO STOCK SCREEN
A tool to find stocks that should benefit from our macro views (or yours!). Includes a technical signal to screen for interesting trade candidates.
OUR TRACK RECORD
We trade our macro views transparently and provide daily updates of how we are doing relative to our benchmark of SPY.
Can A 22 Kill A bull?
A 22k print in payrolls raises the spectre of stagflation. Fighting in DC is also likely to be good for gold and bad for stocks. Time to take profit in stocks with exposure to rates.
244
0
4
Sep 7, 2025
The "September Effect" Revisited
September is typically associated with higher rates, lower stocks, and higher USD. Why is this? Will this be a typical September? How important are rising political risks in France, UK, and Japan?
309
2
1
Thursday, September 4, 2025
METHODOLOGY:
1: Excess returns are calculated daily using US closing prices.
2. Portfolios are rebalanced on Mondays at New York open, based on allocation strategies discussed in our Beat the Market video on Sunday.
3: The calibration of our risk exposure is based on our target of annual excess return of 250 basis points and information ratio of 2.
< 10 mins
The "September Effect" Revisited
September is typically associated with higher rates, lower stocks, and higher USD. Why is this? Will this be a typical September? How important are rising political risks in France, UK, and Japan?
309
2
1
Thursday, September 4, 2025
Sunday strategy video
30 mins
Can A 22 Kill A bull?
A 22k print in payrolls raises the spectre of stagflation. Fighting in DC is also likely to be good for gold and bad for stocks. Time to take profit in stocks with exposure to rates.
Can A 22 Kill A bull?
A 22k print in payrolls raises the spectre of stagflation. Fighting in DC is also likely to be good for gold and bad for stocks. Time to take profit in stocks with exposure to rates.
Can A 22 Kill A bull?
A 22k print in payrolls raises the spectre of stagflation. Fighting in DC is also likely to be good for gold and bad for stocks. Time to take profit in stocks with exposure to rates.
244
0
4
Sunday, September 7, 2025
Leverage without leverage
Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch tell us that diversification is bad. We explain what really happens when you diversify, and how we use it.
MORE BUYERS OR SELLERS?
Monday fast money
Chinese data suggests Covid testing is being reduced
Asymptomatic cases in China have begun to diverge from symptomatic cases.
